With the outcome of the 2020 presidential election still very much in doubt and recounts, investigations and potential lawsuits likely looming, the head of President Donald trump campaign says he believes the president has a pathway to victory based on their estimation of the remaining battleground states.
In a phone call with reporters this morning, Trump 2020 campaign manager Bill Stepien explained that the campaign is confident that if all legally cast ballots are counted, President Donald Trump will be re-elected.
He said the campaign is confident the President will win states that have not yet been decided and added that Democrats are pushing to count late ballots because they are worried about our margins. The Trump campaign legal team is fighting to ensure that all legal ballots – and only legal ballots – are counted, he explained.
President Trump remains in a “very, very, very good position” to win re-election he said, even though early-morning vote leads in Wisconsin and Michigan shifted to Democrat Joe Biden.
“We are confident in our pathway. We are confident in our math. We said all along we are viewing some of these races as math equations,” Stepien said. “If we count all legal ballots, the president wins.”
Stepien said Trump likely will win Georgia and Pennsylvania, where he’s currently ahead, but also Arizona, Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin, where he’s trailing to Biden.
“Wisconsin, tight race, within 1 percent, that is recount territory,” Stepien said. “Michigan, we believe we know there are outlying Republican counties still left to be counted. We are confident in a pathway that includes Michigan.”
“Despite ridiculous public polling used as a voter suppression tactic, Wisconsin has been a razor thin race as we always knew that it would be. There have been reports of irregularities in several Wisconsin counties which raise serious doubts about the validity of the results. The President is well within the threshold to request a recount and we will immediately do so,” he added.
There are more than a million ballots left to be counted, including roughly 300,000 in Philadelphia. Using extremely conservative estimates, even if President Trump receives just 5% of ballots in Philadelphia and 30% of other remaining ballots, the trump campaign believes the President still wins Pennsylvania by 40,000 votes. Many of the absentee ballots to be counted are from conservative counties such as Cumberland County, Westmoreland County – a county where President Trump won 69% of the vote yesterday, and Franklin County – a county where President Trump won more than 82% of the vote yesterday.
In Arizona, the Trump campaign expects to win a large majority of the votes to be counted and says “Arizona will join the President’s column at day’s end.” It says the same for Nevada, where there is a concern about fraud but a belief that all legal ballots will show a Trump victory. The campaign thinks Georgia and North Carolina are easier wins, where the campaign is currently ahead by tens of thousands of votes.
Michigan and Wisconsin are tighter contests that could produce recounts. The Trump team is confident of victory, but if it retains Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada but loses Michigan and Wisconsin, Trump would still win 285-253 in the electoral college.
The only result that seems certain today is that a winner will not be determined by the end of the day today or possibly tomorrow.