Romney Leads in National, State Polls in Election’s Final Week

Politics   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Oct 29, 2012   |   11:46AM   |   Columbus, OH

In the final week of the elections, Mitt Romney leads pro-abortion President Barack Obama in new state and national polls as pro-life groups are working to turn out as many pro-life voters as possible.

His sustained leads in the polls following the first debate in Denver have led many political pundits to move from speculating whether Romney will win the election to wondering whether he will win by a bigger margin than expected.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) remain undecided.

A Rasmussen Reports swing state tracking poll released today has Romney ahead 50-46 percent. The survey tracks results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

“In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%.  Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided,” Rasmussen reports. “Romney has now led for 12 straight days with margins of four to six points most of that time. In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.”

Romney has been over 50 percent of the vote in these battleground states every day but one since October 20 and Obama hasn’t led in the poll since October 17.

Meanwhile, Rasmussen’s latest survey in Ohio shows Mitt Romney with a small edge over Barack Obama, 50-48 percent, for his first lead in the state in Rasmussen’s polling.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided.

According to a CNN/ORC International poll released Monday, 50% of likely voters in the Sunshine State say they are backing Republican nominee Mitt Romney, with 49% supporting President Barack Obama.

Responding to the poll, the Romney campaign released a memo about its efforts in the Buckeye State, which is considered the linchpin of a close election.



The next-to-last weekend before the election produced fresh evidence of Mitt Romney’s momentum in Ohio and bolsters our belief that Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are poised to win the Buckeye State’s 18 electoral votes.

The state of the race in Ohio shows a dead heat, with Romney tracking toward victory on Election Day. The daydream Chicago was having a few weeks ago about Ohio coming off the board has been replaced by their nightmare of Romney momentum fueled by our ticket’s performance, our goal-shattering ground game, and an unmistakable feeling among independent voters that Barack Obama has no plan for the next four years.

Team Romney Ohio knocked on 669,534 doors over the last two weeks, and the crowds at Romney’s rallies have just been massive. We aren’t doing anything differently to promote the events; people are just organically showing up to see the next leader of the free world. The crowds know what is happening here, and so does Chicago. We can’t print walk books fast enough for people who want to elect a real leader to the White House.

We see momentum in five key areas: polling, grassroots voter contact, newspaper endorsements, events, and early-voting statistics.