Romney Won Debate by Record-High Margin New Poll Shows

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Oct 8, 2012   |   11:00AM   |   Washington, DC

The poll bounce Mitt Romney received from his winning debate performance Wednesday night continues as polls show him having caught up to pro-abortion President Barack Obama.

Romney won the debate by a record-high margin, according to a new survey Gallup released Monday.

“An Oct. 4-5 Gallup poll finds roughly two in three Americans reporting that they watched the Oct. 3 debate, similar to what Gallup measured for each of the three 2008 presidential debates. Those who viewed the debate overwhelmingly believe Romney did a better job than Obama, 72% to 20%. Republicans were nearly unanimous in judging Romney the winner. But even Democrats rated Romney as doing a better job than Obama, 49% to 39%,” it reported. “Across all of the various debate-reaction polls Gallup has conducted, Romney’s 52-point win is the largest Gallup has measured. The prior largest margin was 42 points for Bill Clinton over George H.W. Bush in the 1992 town hall debate.”

Gallup now has the race tied at 47-47, whereas, in the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters.

“Gallup typically reports voter presidential preferences in seven-day rolling averages; the latest such average as of Saturday interviewing shows Obama with an average three-point edge, 49% to 46%, among registered voters. This Sept. 30-Oct. 6 field period includes three days before the Oct. 3 debate, the night of the debate itself, and three days after the debate,” it said. “Should Mitt Romney’s momentum continue in the coming days, that gap in the seven-day rolling average would narrow further.”

A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of likely voters shows Obama ahead 49-48 percent, within the margin of error. Most of the poll’s calls were made before Romney’s strong performance so the bump Romney has received to catch up will likely continue.

But what is more important for Romney is the quantified shift in enthusiasm — with Republican voters and Romney backers more enthusiastic about voting than Democrats and Obama supporters.



“Only 73 percent who support Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, compared to 86 percent who back Romney. Likewise, 84 percent of Republicans say they are extremely likely to vote, compared to 76 percent of Democrats,” the poll found. “Among those extremely likely to vote, Romney actually leads Obama 52 percent to 46 percent. That’s up from a 2-point lead last week. Obama led 50 percent to 47 percent among this group three weeks ago.”

“The percentages among key Democratic constituencies who say they are extremely likely to vote should cause concern in Chicago: While 82 percent of whites (who break for Romney by a 15-point margin) say they’re “extremely likely” to vote, only 71 percent of African-Americans and 70 percent of Latinos do. And just 68 percent of 18-to-29-year-olds, another key Obama constituency, put themselves in the “extremely likely” to vote category,” it continued.

Romney now leads among independents by 16 points, 51 percent to 35 percent. This is up from 4 points last week, the poll found.