Gallup: Romney, Obama Tied at 47% Each in Presidential Poll

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Sep 20, 2012   |   1:58PM   |   Washington, DC

A new Gallup survey has the presidential race tied at 47 percent apiece in a new national poll featuring pro-abortion President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, who is endorsed by pro-life groups.

About its newest poll, Gallup says:

These are the results when registered voters are asked: “Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?”

Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points.









Meanwhile, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

“When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 50% and Romney 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question,” Rasmussen indicates.

The Rasmussen polling firm also releases polling data on the most competitive 11 swing states that will likely determine the election and those states are backing Obama on a 47-46 percentage point margin.



“The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin,” the firm says. “In the 11 swing states, President Obama earns 47% of the vote, and Mitt Romney is supported by 46%. Two percent (2%) are not sure, and five percent (5%) are undecided.”

In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin — making it so this year’s election is much closer than the 2008 contest.

“The race in the swing states remains neck-and-neck with Obama now edging ahead after four days of Romney in the lead. After modest post-convention bounces for both candidates, the race is now back to where it was at the beginning of the month,” Rasmussen says. “When “leaners” are factored in, Obama receives 49% of the vote to Romney’s 47%.”

The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 50%. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. These figures include 29% who Strongly Approve and 40% who Strongly Disapprove.