New Hampshire Poll Sees Ayotte Lead Over Lamontagne Shrinking, Vote Tuesday
by Steven Ertelt
September 13, 2010
Concord, NH (LifeNews.com) — A new poll of Republican voters in New Hampshire finds pro-life Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte’s shrinking over pro-life candidate Ovide Lamontagne. Ayotte has seen what was once a 39 percentage point lead in a PPP poll dwindle to a seven point lead now.
Ayotte leads with 37% to 30% for Lamontagne, 13% for Bill Binnie, and 12% for Jim Bender.
While businessman Lamontagne has made an amazing comeback against the former attorney general, he may have run out of time to catch up fully by tomorrow’s primary election.
The PPP polling firm says that, if Ayotte survives, it may be because she has been seen as both the establishment and the Tea Party candidate.
"If Ayotte survives where many GOP establishment candidates have failed in Senate primaries this year it will be because she managed to be the Tea Party candidate herself. With the third of Republican primary voters who describe themselves as members of that movement she leads Lamontagne 38-37, a contrast to the wallopings folks like Trey Grayson, Sue Lowden, Lisa Murkowski, and likely Mike Castle have received with that group," it said.
Ayotte builds on her running even with the Tea Party folks with a 39-17 lead over Lamontagne with moderate voters. Binnie finishes second with that group at 19%.
Although there is a debate over whether Ayotte is sufficiently pro-life — despite endorsements from national and New Hampshire pro-life groups — the polling firm says New Hampshire is different from another state in terms of strategy on retaking the Senate from pro-abortion Democrats.
"Unlike Delaware it may not matter from a general election standpoint who the Republicans nominate in New Hampshire. Numbers we’ll release later this week showed Ayotte and Lamontagne performing basically the same against Paul Hodes," PPP said.
Looking at general election polling, Ayotte has never trailed Hodes and led by 13 percent in the last Rasmussen poll released in August. Binnie led Hodes as well, but Lamontagne was not compared directly.
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