California Senate Race Tied, New Poll Shows as Boxer Loses Lead to Fiorina
by Steven Ertelt
August 25, 2010
Sacramento, CA (LifeNews.com) — After two polls showing her with a lead, Rasmussen Reports indicates pro-abortion California senator Barbara Boxer is now essentially tied with pro-life candidate Carly Fiorina. The polling firm is now moving the state from its "leans Democratic" to a toss-up category because of the new results.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in California shows Boxer with 44% support, while Fiorina picks up 43% of the vote.
Five percent (5%) like another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.
Earlier this month, Boxer held a five-point lead, 45% to 40%, and she was ahead 49% to 42% in July. Since February, Boxers support has ranged from 42% to 49%. In those same surveys, Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, has earned 38% to 43% of the vote.
When leaners are included in the new totals, Boxer moves ahead by five points 49% to 44%. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate.
Eighty-two percent (82%) of those who support Fiorina say they are already certain how they will vote in November. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Boxers supporters say the same, meaning more Boxer backers are less sure they will vote for her in November.
Fiorina earns 89% support from Republican voters, while 77% of Democrats favor Boxer. Voters not affiliated with either party give a modest edge to the pro-abortion stalwart.
A CBS 5 KPIX-TV poll earlier this month found Fiorina leading Boxer 47-42 percent with the rest undecided or favoring a minor party candidate.
Just hours after the polling results were released, the Boxer campaign dropped a new 15-second Internet ad blasting Fiorina on abortion — an issus Boxer’s people believe will help her in a state that does not follow the rest of the nation in opposing abortion.
The ad bashes Fiorina for saying, I absolutely would vote to overturn Roe v. Wade if the opportunity presented itself" in a KTKZ – AM interview in January. It highlights several endorsements Fiorina has received from pro-life groups and pro-life leaders.
That poll showed Fiorina also receives 73 percent of the pro-life vote while Boxer, the pro-abortion champion in the Senate, gets 19 percent. Fiorina picks off 28 percent of pro-abortion voters while Boxer has the backing of 59 percent.
At the time, Conservative writer Ed Morrissey of HotAir said pro-life advocates should exercise caution about the latest numbers.
"Survey USAs a respected pollster but they’re the only ones to show Fiorina with a lead this year. Their last poll had her up two points and a Pajamas Media poll taken in June had the race even, but literally everyone else including Rasmussen has Boxer ahead by anywhere from five to nine points," he notes.
Morrissey continues: "So consider these new numbers not so much an answer as a question: Just an outlier, or a leading indicator of a trend in the race? Rasmussens last poll did show Fiorina closing in, but only ever so slightly (a two-point gain). Keep this on your radar screen, then, with an eye to confirmation via the next round of polls. Just a little tremor happening in California, or is this the Big One?"
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