Gallup Poll Analysis Shows Pro-Life Movement Can Expect Election Landslide

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Aug 9, 2010   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

Gallup Poll Analysis Shows Pro-Life Movement Can Expect Election Landslide

by Steven Ertelt Editor
August 9
, 2010

Washington, DC ( — A new analysis from the Gallup polling organization provides more good news for pro-life advocates heading into the 2010 elections. Its review of presidential approval ratings just before midterm congressional elections finds presidents like Barack Obama with lower ratings see their party lose seats.

If that is any indication of the potential November results this year, the pro-life movement can expect to see a slew of pro-abortion members of the House and Senate lose their seats.

"Presidents who retain majority job approval from Americans at the time of midterm elections are much less likely to see their party suffer heavy seat losses than are those with sub-50% approval ratings," Gallup finds in its analysis today. "Since 1946, when presidents are above 50% approval, their party loses an average of 14 seats in the U.S. House in the midterm elections, compared with an average loss of 36 seats when presidents are below that mark."

"The clear implication is that the Democrats are vulnerable to losing a significant number of House seats this fall with Barack Obama’s approval rating averaging 45% during the last two full weeks of Gallup Daily tracking," it continued.

Bill Clinton in 1994 and George W. Bush in 2006 both saw approval under the 50 percent mark cause their parties to lose control of the House of Representatives.

Republicans would need to gain 40 House seats to replace pro-abortion House speaker Nancy Pelosi, who ushered in health care funding abortions and prevented votes on pro-life amendments stopping various taxpayer funding of abortions.

The president’s party nearly always loses seats in midterm elections, regardless of how well the president is rated by the public, Gallup notes.

"Since World War II, only Clinton in 1998 and Bush in 2002 saw their parties gain seats in a midterm," it said. "Both men had approval ratings above 60% at the time of those elections. However, the parties of the other three presidents with ratings above 60% (Eisenhower in 1954, Kennedy in 1962, and Reagan in 1986) lost seats."

"In general, though, the more popular a president is, the fewer seats his party loses, as presidents with approval ratings above 60% have averaged just a three-seat loss," Gallup found.

Ultimately, Gallup says the pro-abortion Democrats who run Congress now are facing grim election prospects.

"With the Democratic Party in control of the White House and Congress, and key predictors of midterm seat change — including presidential approval, congressional approval, and national satisfaction — below average historically, the Democrats are clearly fighting an uphill battle this midterm election year," it concluded.

"In its latest weekly update on midterm voting preferences, Gallup found more registered voters saying they would vote for the Republican candidate in their district than for the Democrat," it said.


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