Poll for 2012 Election Finds Obama Trailing, Tying Potential Pro-Life Candidates
by Steven Ertelt
July 16, 2010
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) — A poll previewing the 2012 election, conducted by the Democratic-leaning polling firm Public Policy Polling, finds pro-abortion President Barack Obama trailing or tying some of the potential pro-life candidates he may face in his re-election bid.
The firm pitted Obama against five potential Republican presidential hopefuls and the only candidate Obama is leading is pro-life Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, whose name is not among those most often mentioned.
Obama trails former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney 46-43 and pro-life former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee 47-45 percent. Obama also trails pro-life former House Speaker New Gingrich 46-45 and he is tied with pro-life former Alaska governor Sarah Palin at 46 percent apiece.
"With his approval numbers hitting new lows its no surprise that Barack Obamas numbers in our monthly look ahead to the 2012 Presidential race are their worst ever this month," the polling firm noted. "The only person tested he leads is Jan Brewer, who doesn’t have particularly high name recognition on the national level at this point."
PPP suggests Obama is not trailing because Americans strongly favor the potential GOP opponents but because Obama’s approval rating is so low.
It noted the favorability ratings of the Republicans are low, too, with only Huckabee having a net positive at 37 percent approval and 28 percent disapproval. Romney stands at 32 percent approval and 33 percent disapproval while Gingrich’s approval rating is a 32-42, Palin’s stands at 37-52 and Brewer is at 17-20.
"There are two things driving these strong poll numbers for the Republican candidates. The first is a lead with independents in every match up. Romney leads 48-35 with them, Gingrich is up 50-39, Huckabee has a 46-40 advantage, Palins up 47-42, and even Brewer has a 38-37 edge," PPP noted.
Conservative writer Ed Morrissey of Hot Air commented on the new polling results and said the sample PPP used actually favored Democrats slightly and somewhat discounted the number of independents — thus making it so he believes the Republican candidates actually have a stronger standing than they do in the PPP results.
"Also note that this poll surveyed registered voters, not likely voters a sampling technique that would tend to favor Democrats and Obama a little more," he said.
"The news is almost uniformly bad for Obama in the poll. His approval rating is now seriously underwater at 45/52. That gets even worse among independents, 40/56. He doesn’t get above 46% in any matchup with Republicans, not even Jan Brewer, whom he beats 44/36, with 20% undecided," Morrissey writes.
While Palin fares worse against Obama than other potential opponents he may face, Morrissey believes the numbers show she can be a competitive candidate as well.
"For Palin, the numbers show she can play against Obama. She pulls 8% of those who voted for Obama in 2008 and 35% of those who ‘don’t remember’ [if they did]," he said. That "puts her on par for outreach with Gingrich (9%, 40%), Romney (9%, 32%), and slightly better than Huckabee (6%, 32%)."
"If thats not vindication for those who argued that Palin couldn’t do as well with unaffiliated voters, its certainly something close to it," he said.
Morrissey also said he is surprised by the high number of voters who say they don’t remember if they voted for Obama — a possible indication of significant buyer’s remorse as voters who supported him in 2008 are too embarrassed by his performance to admit doing so.
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