Second Poll Shows Elena Kagan’s Support Lower Than Sonia Sotomayor’s
by Steven Ertelt
May 12, 2010
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) — A second poll in as many days shows the lukewarm support pro-abortion Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan has is lower than the support Sonia Sotomayor had last year just after her nomination. A new Gallup poll confirms the results of a Rasmussen Reports survey yesterday.
The Gallup poll finds just four in ten Americans say Obama made an excellent or good choice in Kagan, the pro-abortion Solicitor General.
Some 40 percent say the choice of Kagan is good, 22 percent say fair, 14 percent say poor and 24 percent have no opinion.
Kagan’s positive rating is seven points lower than the favorability rating Justice Sonia Sotomayor received last year immediately following her nomination. Sotomayor and Kagan received similar negative ratings.
In the last five years since Gallup has conducted polls just after a Supreme Court nomination, Kagan’s approval rating is the lowest to date, while Justice John Roberts, named by pro-life President George W. Bush, had the highest in 2005 at 51 percent.
Predictably, the new Gallup poll shows Democrats are more inclined to support President Barack Obama’s nominee than Republicans, at a 63 percent to 18 percent clip.
While men and women gave Kagan similar favorable ratings, men were almost twice as likely (19-10 percent) to call the selection a poor choice. By contrast, women’s initial reaction to Sotomayor’s nomination last year was much more positive than men’s (53% to 41%).
In the Rasmussn poll released yesterday about Kagan, one-third support her, one-third oppose, while a final third remain unsure — but most Americans say Kagan will be confirmed.
In the first survey following Obama’s announcement of Kagan, the first nominee without judicial experience chosen in nearly 40 years, Americans are divided.
Some 33% say yes, 33% say no, and 34% are undecided, Rasmussen’s poll showed.
According to the pollster, that means Kagan has less support than pro-abortion nominee Sonia Sotomayor did at the time of her confirmation. By comparison, 45% favored Sotomayor confirmation in the first survey following her nomination. Twenty-nine percent (29%) were opposed, and 26% not sure.
The new survey shows a predictable partisan split on Kagan.
"Fifty-four percent (54%) of Republicans oppose Kagans confirmation. Yet while the plurality (47%) of Democrats support her confirmation, a surprisingly high 38% of voters in the presidents party are not sure. Voters not affiliated with either party are closely divided over the question," Rasmussen notes.
The survey of 1,000 likely voters on Monday also found 82 percent of U.S. voters expect Obamas newest nominee to be confirmed by the Senate. That includes 52% who say it is very likely she will be confirmed.
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