Gallup Poll Shows Obama in Trouble in 2012, No Clear Republican Frontrunner

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Feb 11, 2010   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

Gallup Poll Shows Obama in Trouble in 2012, No Clear Republican Frontrunner

by Steven Ertelt Editor
February 11
, 2010

Washington, DC ( — A new Gallup poll shows pro-abortion President Barack Obama in trouble in a potential 2012 re-election matchup against an unnamed Republican candidate. They survey also shows Republicans are not united behind any particular candidate to take on Obama in the next election.

The new national Gallup survey finds Obama leads a generic Republican by just 2 points in a hypothetical re-election matchup.

Some 44 percent of voters chose Obama while 42 percent picked the unnamed Republican candidate. Another 11 percent were undecided and three percent said they would prefer a third-party candidate.

Independents are leaning toward the unnamed Republican by a double-digit margin — 45 percent vs. 31 percent for Obama. The survey showed Democrats would overwhelmingly back Obama and Republicans overwhelming support the GOP candidate.

John McCormack of the conservative National Review publication says Obama’s numbers will likely go down if Congress railroads the pro-abortion, government-run health care bill through the House and Senate.

"As liberal bloggers keep telling us, Obama’s support will surely pick up if only he could ram his health care plan through Congress (that would be the health care bill supported by 35% of voters)," he said.

The same survey finds no clear support for any GOP candidate yet among Republican voters and independents who lean Republican.

Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin lead the pack as the only candidates with double digit support when voters are asked an open-ended question about candidates without naming any.

Romney drew 14 percent, Palin 11 percent and former presidential candidate John McCain had the support of seven percent of Republicans.

Another 4 percent named newly-minted pro-abortion Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown, 3 percent went with former presidential candidate Mike Huckabee and another 3 percent for former House Speaker New Gingrich.

Ron Paul received the backing of 2 percent of Republicans, Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota received one percent as did new Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell, former candidate Fred Thompson and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal.

Some 10 percent of Republicans picked another candidate while 42 percent were undecided.

The new survey comes as some possible 2012 GOP presidential contenders will speak at the annual Conservative Political Action Conference.

The hypothetical 2012 matchup is based on a sample of 942 registered voters from February 1-3. The Republican nominee question is based on a subsample of 490 Republican and Republican-leaning independents.

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