California Voters Will Reject Parental Notification on Abortion New Poll Claims

State   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Nov 3, 2008   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

California Voters Will Reject Parental Notification on Abortion, New Poll Claims

by Steven Ertelt Editor
November 3
, 2008

Sacramento, CA ( — A new poll of California voters claims the third time will not be the charm for backers of a parental notification initiative on abortion. After polls showed Proposition 4 with a narrow lead throughout most of the election, it appears well-funded last-minute ads from abortion advocates are changing minds.

A new CBS 5 poll conducted by Survey USA found 46 percent of California voters plan to vote no on the abortion measure while 40 percent support it.

That’s a departure from a Field Poll released on Friday showing a narrow 45-43 percentage point lead with 12 percent undecided.

Survey USA cautioned that the battle on the abortion measure is too close to call and that the vote on Proposition 4 "could go either way."

The biggest concern for backers of the abortion measure is that 42 percent of California residents have already voted and they opposed the measure 51-43 percent while another 6 percent didn’t say how they voted.

The 58 percent of voters who haven’t gone to the polls oppose it 42-38 percent with 19 percent undecided about the measure.

Looking further at the results, men support the measure by a 44-40 percent margin while women oppose it 52 to 36 percent. Older voters are more likely than younger voters to support the proposal.

White voters oppose it on a 49-41 percent margin while black voters back it 44-42 percent, Hispanics are opposed to Proposition 4 on a 44-38 percent clip, which is at odds with most surveys showing them supportive. Asians are split on the measure.

The Survey USA poll shows Republicans back the parental notification proposal 61-27 percent, Democrats oppose it 59-28 percent and independents oppose it 47 to 35 percent.

Last month, the Field Poll showed a 49-41 percent lead for Proposition 4 while 10 percent were undecided.

Related web sites:
Yes on 4 –

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