Zogby Tracking Poll on Friday Shows McCain Leading Obama 48-47 Percent
by Steven Ertelt
November 2, 2008
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) — The Zogby daily presidential tracking poll showed on Friday that John McCain has closed the gap so much on pro-abortion rival Barack Obama that he has a one point lead. The three-day tracking poll gave Obama nearly a seven point lead after his infomercial but McCain has closed the gap to five points.
Obama now leads by a 49-44 percentage point margin but that includes three days of polling a huge bump Obama received on Wednesday.
As pollster John Zogby explains, the daily tracking poll on Friday, which comprises just one-third of the three-day average, shows McCain leading by one.
That means the Arizona senator has produced some significant movement in his direction in recent days that could continue through the weekend and propel him to victory on Election Day.
"Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%," Zogby explained on Friday night after the poling data arrived.
"He is beginning to cut into Obama’s lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters," Zogby explains.
"Obama’s lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls," Zogby added.
Zogby said that another good polling day today and the removal of the infomercial bump could make the three-day average show the race as tied.
"If McCain has a good day tomorrow (Saturday), we will eliminate Obama’s good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on."
From Thursday’s three-day average to Friday’s, McCain gained one percentage point while Obama lost one.
In other Friday polling, McCain appeared to have leads in several must-win states that Obama is targeting, including Georgia, Missouri, West Virginia, Arizona, Montana. and North Dakota.
He is also hoping to garner wins in North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and Virginia — which would give him enough electoral college votes to defeat Obama.
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