California Parental Notification on Abortion Measure Races to 52-33% Lead
by Steven Ertelt
October 22, 2008
Sacramento, CA (LifeNews.com) — The statewide ballot measure that calls for parental or family notification before a teenager can have an abortion has a lead of almost 20 percentage points in a new poll. Previous surveys have shown leads for the initiative but not as high as the new Marist Poll.
The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion conducted a survey from September 28 to October 5 and found the parental notification initiative holds a 19 percentage point lead among likely voters, 52% to 33%.
The survey shows that Proposition 4 has majority support among women (55% to 31%), Latinos (61% to 27%), those who are married (59% to 25%) and those age 45 or older (55% to 28%). The initiative also leads among men (49% to 34%).
The only demographic opposed to the notification for abortion are likely voters 18 to 29 years old, who oppose it on a 52 to 41 percentage point leader.
The poll also shows that Proposition 4 leads by double digits in every region of California except the Bay Area, where a plurality of 48% is opposed.
Among California likely voters, 75% say that parents or legal guardians have the right to know if their underage daughter is seeking an abortion.
A late September Field Poll of 830 likely voters found the measure leading 49-41 percent with another 10 percent of voters undecided.
Another late September survey, from the Public Policy Institute of California, found almost half of likely voters indicate they will support it on the November ballot. That survey had the support at a similar 48-41 percent level after an August survey found the split at a 47-44 percent lead for the measure.
The new Marist College survey, sponsored by the Knights of Columbus, also found that 76 percent of likely California voters favor significant restrictions on abortion, including 47 percent who believe abortion should be restricted to cases of rape, incest, or to save the life of the mother, or should never be permitted.
Among key groups, 84% of Catholic likely voters favor significant restrictions. Sharing this view are 85% of Latino likely voters, including 61% who would limit abortion to cases of rape, incest, or to save the life of the mother or believe it should never be permitted.
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