Post-Joe Biden Poll Shows Obama and McCain Even, Clinton Backers Moving

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Aug 24, 2008   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

Post-Joe Biden Poll Shows Obama and McCain Even, Clinton Backers Moving

by Steven Ertelt Editor
August 24
, 2008

Washington, DC ( — The first national poll conducted entirely after Barack Obama named pro-abortion senator Joe Biden as his running mate shows the presidential race even. Obama appears to have received little post-running mate bounce as a CNN poll shows him tied with John McCain at 47 percent apiece.

Conducted by Opinion Research Corporation and released Sunday night, the survey has Obama at lower numbers than he had both last month and last week.

“This looks like a step backward for Obama, who had a 51 to 44 percent advantage last month,” said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “Even last week, just before his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate became known, most polls tended to show Obama with a single-digit advantage over McCain."

The CNN poll makes it appear that the reason McCain is doing better is because he is attracting more supporters of former presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

Obama’s not picking her as his vice presidential candidate is likely turning off former Clinton backers further.

The survey finds 66 percent of Clinton supporters who are registered Democrats support Obama, but the number is down from the 75 percent of Clinton backers who supported him at the end of June.

On the other hand, Clinton backers support McCain now at a 27 percent clip, up from 16 percent this time two months ago.

“The number of Clinton Democrats who say they would vote for McCain has gone up 11 points since June, enough to account for most although not all of the support McCain has gained in that time,” Holland says.

To underscore the point, 73 percent of Democrats favor Biden as Obama’s running mate but just 59 percent of Clinton supporters do.

Another 38 percent of all Democrats say Obama should have picked Clinton to run with him instead of looking to someone else.

Other national polls released on Sunday also show a close race.

A Gallup tracking poll has the presidential contest at a 45-45 percentage point tie. A Rasmussen daily tracking poll shows Obama ahead 48 to 45 percent, and ABC News has the race at 49-45 percent for Obama.

The CNN poll was conducted Saturday and Sunday after the Biden selection and included 1,023 adult Americans surveyed over the phone. The margin of error is 3.5 percent.


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