National Poll sShow Presidential Race Tied Between McCain and Obama

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Aug 1, 2008   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

National Polls Show Presidential Race Tied Between McCain and Obama

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by Steven Ertelt Editor
August 1
, 2008

Washington, DC ( — Two new national polls released on Friday show the presidential race tied between John McCain and Barack Obama. A new Gallup daily tracking poll shows the race tied at 44 percent apiece and a Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll shows Obama up by just one point — within the margin of error.

The Gallup poll tracks 1,000 random voters every day and it showed Barack Obama getting a temporary surge due to his European trip.

However, after he returned home, McCain has come on strong and move from a 48 to 40 percent disadvantage to having the race tied. Obama dropped four percent and McCain made up four percent during that time.

A tie is the closest the race has been in July since Obama had a mere 45-44 percentage point lead in the middle of the month before his trip.

"Obama and McCain were closely matched in each of the three nights of interviewing included in today’s result, with neither candidate ahead by more than three percentage points. This suggests that the recent surge in voter support for Obama has truly subsided," Gallup said in a report accompanying the poll.

"The contrast between Obama’s recent advantage over McCain (ranging from six to nine points) and today’s result is particularly notable because this is McCain’s strongest showing in over a month. The last time Gallup found the race exactly tied was in late June," the polling firm added.

The Rasmussen poll shows the race at 47-46 percent for Obama when leaners are included.

The poll also shows the same trend towards McCain as it had Obama leading as high as 49 to 43 percent at the beginning of the week. Obama has dropped two percent and McCain has gained three since then.

The survey found McCain is viewed favorably by 57 percent of voters while 55 percent say the same about the pro-abortion candidate Obama.

Some 32 percent have a very favorable opinion of Obama while 27 percent have a very negative opinion about him — making him the more polarized candidate of the two. McCain has 19 percent saying they have a very favorable opinion and just 17 percent saying very unfavorable.

The Rasmussen survey also found that abortion came in as the fifth most important issue in the election after the economy, national security, social security and health care, and taxes.

The poll found McCain leads among voters who say abortion is the most important issue with 39 percent favoring McCain, 36 percent favoring Obama and the rest undecided.


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