John McCain Continues Electoral College Lead Over Barack Obama

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   May 23, 2008   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

John McCain Continues Electoral College Lead Over Barack Obama

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by Steven Ertelt Editor
May 23
, 2008

Washington, DC ( — Eventual Republican presidential candidate John McCain continues to lead Barack Obama in the electoral college vote. While McCain would defeat Obama in a general election matchup, he would lose by a significant margin to Hillary Clinton should she manage to overcome long odds and become the nominee.

Looking at the McCain-Obama matchup, McCain comes in with 279 electoral college votes, nine more than the 270 necessary to capture the nomination. Obama receives 259 electoral college votes, according to a analysis.

McCain would win the presidency had the election occurred today because he holds leads in several of the top battleground states.

A Quinnipiac poll released on Thursday shows McCain leading Obama 44 to 40 percent in Ohio, and 45 to 41 percent in Florida. A Rasmussen poll released on Wednesday showed McCain with a high 10 percent lead in Florida, 50 to 40 percent.

In other battleground states, McCain holds a 51 to 43 percent lead in North Carolina, a Survey USA poll shows and he leads Obama 48 to 45 percent in Missouri, Rasmussen has McCain up 46 to 40 in Nevada, and a Virginia Commonwealth University poll has McCain leading 44 to 36 percent.

Obama has leads in several key states including Pennsylvania, where Quinnipiac has him up 46 to 40; Virginia, where he leads 49 to 42 percent in a Survey USA poll; Colorado, where Obama leads 48 to 42 percent in a Rasmussen poll; and Minnesota, where he leads by a 51 to 38 percent margin.

The pro-abortion candidate also has leads in Washington, Iowa, and Oregon while McCain has leads in Georgia, Texas and Kentucky. Recent polls show ties in Michigan and New Mexico, though others show Obama with a lead.

Meanwhile, Clinton appears to have a strong lead over McCain as a analysis indicates she could have as much as a 322 to 216 lead in the electoral votes.

Clinton performs better than Obama against McCain in several of the key battleground states, including in Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio where McCain is currently ahead of Obama.

She leads McCain by 13 percent in Pennsylvania, has a 49-43 percent lead in North Carolina, she leads McCain in Ohio by a 48-41 percentage margin, and she holds a 48 to 41 percent edge over McCain in Florida.

Clinton also holds a 46 to 41 percentage point lead over McCain in Nevada, a two percent lead in Missouri, a nine percent lead in Minnesota, a 14 percent lead in Arkansas, and a five percent lead in Washington state.

McCain has a lead over Clinton in Colorado, Virginia, and Iowa.