Barack Obama Retains North Carolina Lead, Clinton Has Small Indiana Edge

State   |   Steven Ertelt   |   May 6, 2008   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

Barack Obama Retains North Carolina Lead, Clinton Has Small Indiana Edge

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by Steven Ertelt Editor
May 6
, 2008

Raleigh, NC ( — Barack Obama retains a small lead in North Carolina and Hillary Clinton holds a small edge in Indiana as Democratic voters in both states head to the polls today to choose between the two pro-abortion Democrats. Splitting the two states tonight likely will force a continuation of the primary battle into June.

In North Carolina, Obama held a strong double digit lead for most of April, but Clinton has staged a solid comeback over the last two weeks and now an average of the last seven polls shows Obama with an eight point lead.

The four most recent polls are all over the map with an Insider Advantage survey out today showing him leading 47 to 43 percent and a Zogby Tracking poll showing him ahead 51 to 37 percent.

A Survey USA poll released Monday shows Obama ahead 50 to 45 percent and a PPP poll from Monday gives him a 53 to 43 percentage point advantage.

While it appears likely that Obama will carry North Carolina tonight, what will happen in Indiana is more cloudy.

The average of the latest five polls give Clinton a five percent edge there but the most recent one shows Obama with a two percent lead.

A Zogby tracking poll out Tuesday has Obama leading 45 to 43 percent, but it also shows a high number of undecided voters.

Yet each of the recent polls prior to today have Clinton ahead as Insider Advantage shows her with a 48 to 44 percent lead, SurveyUSA has her at 54 to 42 percent, Suffolk University has the race at 49 to 43 and PPP shows it at 51 to 46.

Should the candidates split the two states and continue battling for the nomination, they will head to West Virginia on May 13, where Clinton is expected to fare well. Oregon and Kentucky Democrats would then head to the polls on May 20.

In June, Democrats in Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota vote for the presidential candidates.