Polls Show Mixed News for Obama, Clinton in Indiana, North Carolina
by Steven Ertelt
April 27, 2008
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) — With Hillary Clinton picking up a victory in Pennsylvania, the eyes of the nation are on Indiana and North Carolina as Democrats in both states head to the polls May 6 to select one of the pro-abortion activists to represent the party against John McCain.
North Carolina has a larger number of delegates awarded and the state has been in the Obama corner for weeks given its large share of African-American voters.
A Survey USA poll last week showed Obama ahead by a 9 percent margin, 50-41, but the numbers are much closer than in previous weeks.
A PPP poll had Obama ahead 25 percent in April 20, a survey from the Insider Advantage polling firm showed Obama in the lead by 15 percent on April 14 and the Los Angeles Times had Obama leading by 13 points on the same date.
Should Clinton’s win in Pennsylvania help her close the gap with Obama in the southern state, she could continue to claim she has a chance to win the nomination and the primary contest could continue indefinitely.
Clinton is counting on Indiana Democrats to give her a win to counteract the likely Obama victory in North Carolina. But polls there show Obama having eked out a narrow lead after weeks of Clinton polling ahead.
Two polls released on Thursday show conflicting results — with a Research 2000 survey having Obama ahead 48-47 and an ARG poll having Clinton leading 50-45.
A Wednesday Indianapolis Star survey shows Obama leading 41-38 with a high number of undecided voters and polls from the Downs Center and the Los Angeles Times the week prior have Obama leading by five percent each.
North Carolina’s primary will award 115 delegates while the Indiana primary will award 72 delegates.
Should the primary battle continue for Obama and Clinton beyond that, voters in West Virginia would head to the polls on May 13 followed by Oregon and Kentucky voters on May 20. Democrats in Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota round out the primary season in June.
According to numbers from Real Clear Politics, Obama has a 1727 to 1592 delegate lead with Obama leading 1489-1333 among pledged delegates and Clinton ahead narrowly among superdelegates 259-238.
Another 298 superdelegates remain uncommitted — giving Clinton a reason to continue her campaign.