by Steven Ertelt
February 20, 2008
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) — Hillary Clinton has what some political observers say is one last shot to wrest the Democratic presidential nomination away from abortion advocate Barack Obama, who built on his lead Tuesday night with wins in Wisconsin and Hawaii. Clinton needs to win in Ohio and Texas early next month and she has slim leads there currently.
Clinton has to hope the two key states will side with her and put her back in the delegate lead after losing several states in a row.
In Ohio, a new Survey USA poll released on Tuesday shows her with a 52 to 43 percent lead over Obama.
However, the nine point advantage is a drop from the previous poll from Rasmussen last week showing her with a 51 to 37 percent advantage. And that survey is a drop from a Quinnipiac survey the week prior showing her leading 55 to 34.
In fact, the new Survey USA poll represents the first time Clinton has had less than a double digit lead over Obama in Ohio at any point in the primary election.
In Texas, Clinton holds a modest five percent lead, the new Survey USA poll shows. She enjoys a 50 to 45 percentage point advantage.
A CNN poll released this week shows Clinton ahead by just two points, 50-48, while a Rasmussen poll from last week shows her leading by 16 points, 54-38.
As in Ohio, the size of Clinton’s lead is shrinking given the continued success Obama has had on the campaign trail.
Examining the numbers on the GOP side, John McCain has greatly expanded his lead in Ohio as more time has gone by with him as the perceived nominee.
The new Survey USA poll shows McCain leading Mike Huckabee by a 61 to 29 percentage point margin — which is an increase from a Survey USA poll last week showing him ahead 50-36.
In Texas, McCain has a significant but smaller lead as Survey USA shows him leading Huckabee 50 to 37 percent and CNN shows him leading 55 to 32 percent. Ron Paul, who is a Texas congressman, brings in 7 and 11 percent in those recent polls.
CNN currently shows McCain with 918 of the 1,191 needed to become the official Republican nominee. Texas and Ohio combine for 228 delegates. Rhode Island and Vermont, which also vote on March 4, have 37 delegates total.
With the three candidates splitting the delegates in all but Vermont, McCain will likely not be able to officially say he has become the nominee unless some delegates from Mitt Romney who have endorsed him are counted in the totals.