Final Michigan GOP Polls Show Mitt Romney, John McCain in Close Contest

State   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Jan 15, 2008   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

Final Michigan GOP Polls Show Mitt Romney, John McCain in Close Contest Email this article
Printer friendly page

by Steven Ertelt Editor
January 15,

Lansing, MI ( — The final polls in Michigan, with voters headed to the polls today, show a close race between Mitt Romney and John McCain for a victory there. The surveys continue to show Mike Huckabee should expect a third place finish and that other Republican presidential candidates will finish further back and possibly in single digits.

Of the six most recent polls in Michigan, three show Romney leading anywhere from 5-8 percent and three show McCain leading — but each of them are within the margin of error.

Mike Huckabee is shown with an average of about 16 percent in each of the last six polls while Ron Paul, Fred Thompson and Rudy Giuliani are all in single digits.

The polls show that McCain’s surge in Michigan may have stopped and that Mitt Romney appears to be on the rebound after concentrating his entire campaign there.

A Reuters/Zogby poll through Monday has McCain leading 27-26 percent over Romney with Huckabee at 15 percent and Romney gained two points from the previous survey released days ago.

An ARG poll conducted through Monday has McCain leading 31-30 percent with Huckabee at 19 percent. But McCain is down three and Romney up three from its last survey. Huckabee gained four points from its previous poll.

Mitchell Research, in a poll conducted through Monday, has the race at 35-29 for Romney and Huckabee getting 12 percent. Its tracking surveys show a strong comeback for Romney with McCain and Huckabee holding steady.

Other recent surveys show the close matchup, including one from the Detroit News with McCain leading Romney and Huckabee 27-26-19, the Detroit Free Press has Romney ahead 27-22-16, and Mason-Dixon has Romney ahead 30-22-17.

Democrats do not have an active race in Michigan today because neither Barack Obama nor John Edwards appear on the ballot. They both chose to stay away from the state because it moved up its primary in violation of national Democratic Party rules.

Hillary Clinton is expected to capture most of the vote and a high number of voters are expected to declare themselves uncommitted in order to show their support for Obama or Edwards.