by Steven Ertelt
January 8, 2008
Concord, NH (LifeNews.com) — The final polls in New Hampshire show what will be a tight race on the Republican side and make it appear that Barack Obama could capture a large win among Democratic voters. Polls still mostly have McCain leading handily but Mitt Romney has experienced a slight comeback in the last 24-48 hours.
Romney was said to have performed the best in the two debates over the weekend and political observers are saying he could gain a percentage point or two in the polls if more independent voters decide to vote for Obama in the Democratic contest.
McCain has been counting on the support of both moderate and liberal Republicans as well as some of the independent vote.
Partisan Republicans appear more likely to support Romney and Mike Huckabee, who is projected to come in third.
The Suffolk/WHDH poll is the only one that currently shows Romney winning and has him at 30 percent with McCain at 26 percent and Huckabee and Giuliani at 13 and 11 percent each.
Its Tuesday tracking results show McCain losing a point and Huckabee gaining four from its Monday results.
However, most other surveys continue to show McCain leading and even building more support as voters head to the polls today.
Zogby International has McCain ahead of Romney 36 to 27, which is a wider margin than the 34-29 spread it showed on Sunday. Rasmussen, which initially showed some movement back in Romney’s direction, showed McCain ahead 32 to 31 on Tuesday — the same margin as its Monday results.
Looking at the Democrats, the momentum Obama has built in New Hampshire has continued.
Four new tracking polls released on Tuesday show him with an advantage from five to thirteen percent over Hillary Clinton and with John Edwards a distant third.
The Suffolk poll showed him gaining five points on Monday to go to 39 percent versus 34 percent for Clinton and 15 for Edwards, American Research Group shows an increase for Obama at 40-31-20, Reuters/Zogby shows his lead expanding to 42-29-17.
Only the Rasmussen survey shows Hillary closing the cap a few percentage points to 37-30-19.
Obama appears headed for a second primary victory today, the only question is the breadth of his margin over Clinton and Edwards.