Poll: Giuliai, McCain Lead Iowa and New Hampshire Republicans

National   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Jan 18, 2007   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

Poll: Giuliani, McCain Lead Iowa and New Hampshire Republicans Email this article
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by Steven Ertelt
LifeNews.com Editor
January 18
, 2007

Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) — A new poll conducted by Zogby International of Iowa and New Hampshire Republicans and their thoughts on the potential candidates for the party’s 2008 presidential nomination finds two candidates who aren’t completely pro-life in the lead.

Pro-abortion former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads in the Iowa poll with Arizona Sen. John McCain a close second. The two change positions in the New Hampshire poll with McCain leading.

In Iowa, Giuliani draws the support of 19 percent of Republicans while McCain, who backs embryonic stem cell research funding has 17 percent. McCain leads 26-20 percent over Giuliani in New Hampshire.

House Speaker Newt Gingrich draws 13 percent in Iowa and 6 percent in New Hampshire even though he said he may not run and won’t make a final decision until later this year. He is instead hoping some other strongly conservative candidate grabs the mantle.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice picked up 9 percent in the Iowa poll and 7 percent in New Hampshire even though she has said repeatedly she has no interest in running for president.

Those Iowa Republicans, combined with the 22 percent who said they had no preference, show that the race is wide open as 44 percent of possible caucus participants aren’t supporting any current potential candidate.

In New Hampshire, a total of 28 percent backed no candidate or one who is not seriously considering a bid.

Looking at other candidates who have said they may officially run, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who recently converted to the pro-life position, got 5 percent in Iowa and was third in New Hampshire with 13 percent.

Republican Rep. Tom Tancredo of Colorado, who is pro-life, and pro-life Sen. Chuck Hagel of Nebraska both received two percent in Iowa and two and three percent, respectively, in New Hampshire.

The other potential candidates, including pro-life Sen. Sam Brownback of Kansas, pro-life former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, pro-abortion former New York Gov. George Pataki and former Wisconsin Gov. Tommy Thompson, who backs embryonic stem cell research, all received just one percent in both polls.

"On the Republican side, the two most talked-about candidates are doing well and will fight it out for the support of moderate Republicans and independents," Zogby said in a Wednesday release.

"But our polling in this race also begs the question: Is Newt Gingrich the choice of the conservative wing?" Zogby added, despite Gingrich’s apparent non interest in the race.

Zogby also noticed Tancredo’s interest in the race and said the immigration hawk may be able to pull off a good percentage of the vote because of his prominence on that issue.

"An interesting development can also be found in the 2 percent support for conservative Congressman Tom Tancredo of Colorado," Zogby said. "It means that, if nothing else, he and Newt are going to influence the internal debate in the Republican Party."

The Zogby poll was based on interviews Monday and Tuesday with 465 likely Iowa caucus-goers and 503 likely New Hampshire primary voters and had a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.