California Parental Notification on Abortion Up 3 Points in New Survey

State   |   Steven Ertelt   |   Nov 2, 2006   |   9:00AM   |   WASHINGTON, DC

California Parental Notification on Abortion Up 3 Points in New Survey Email this article
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by Steven Ertelt Editor
November 2
, 2006

Sacramento, CA ( — A new survey shows Proposition 85, the statewide measure that would allow parents to know when their minor daughters are considering an abortion, is ahead by three percent. That’s good news for pro-life groups that are supporting the proposal, which is similar to one voters rejected 53 to 47 percent last year.

The new survey, conducted by the Field Poll, a leading California polling firm, finds that 46 percent of likely voters will back the measure on Tuesday while 43 percent would oppose it.

The poll, released Thursday, finds 11 percent of the voters are still undecided with just days to go in the campaign.

The new poll is a change from a Field Poll conducted one month ago that found California residents opposed to the parental notification proposal by a slim 45 to 44 percent margin.

The newest survey finds Democrats opposed to Proposition 85 by a 56-33 percent margin and Republicans strongly in favor by a 67-26 percent margin. Independent voters are split 49-36 percent against it.

Men currently favor the initiative by ten points, 49% to 39%, but women are narrowly opposed 47% to 44%. Voters living in coastal counties oppose the initiative 46% to 43%, while voters living in inland counties are strongly in favor 54% to 36%.

Looking at racial subgroups, white voters are narrowly opposed to the measure while Hispanics and other ethnic voters favor it. White voters oppose it 44-46 but Hispanics back the measure 58-36.

One of the biggest points of differentiation in voter opinions regarding Prop. 85 relates to religion. Protestant and Catholics are strongly supporting Prop 85 by five to three margins. By contrast, voters affiliated with other religions or who have no religious preference are strongly opposed to the initiative.

Parents of children, married Californians, evangelical voters, and absentee voters are also more likely to favor the initiative.

Related web sites:
Yes on 85 –