by Steven Ertelt
October 18, 2006
Sacramento, CA (LifeNews.com) — A new poll on a statewide initiative that would allow parents to know when their minor teenager daughters are considering an abortion is essentially tied because the results are within the margin of error. The new poll, conducted by Datamar Inc., shows 46.3 percent of California residents back Proposition 85 while 45.2 percent opposed it.
The survey shows decline in support for the parental notification proposal from 48.5 to 46.3 percent from a September Datamar poll. Opposition to the measure is up from 42 percent in September.
Part of the rise has to do with a declining percentage of undecided voters — which has decreased from 9.5 percent to 8.5 percent in the recent survey.
But the change is more likely related to the multi-million dollar campaign abortion advocates have started waging against the proposal.
Planned Parenthood’s California affiliate has pledged to spend as much as $5 million to keep parents in the dark about teen abortions and the group supporting the measure is nowhere close to having those that kind of financial resource to respond.
Other polls have shown a close race as well and an August Field Poll showed voters split 45 to 44 against Proposition 85, which appears to indicate the Planned Parenthood campaign has had little effect thus far.
The Field Poll showed Democrats oppose the parental notification measure on a 61 to 28 percent margin, independents oppose it 50-38 and Republicans are almost three to one in favor of it (67 to 24 percent).
Men favor parental notification 53 to 40 but women are opposed by a 51 to 36 percent margin.
Newspapers have been split on the measure with the San Diego Union-Tribune, Long Beach Press Telegram, the Daily Breeze, Paradise Post, Orange County Register and Antelope Valley Press supporting it while many others have issued editorials urging voters to reject it.