by Steven Ertelt
August 17, 2004
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) — Though some polls show a few key battle ground states potentially changing hands, President Bush and John Kerry are leading in the states Bush and Gore won in 2000. A new poll shows Kerry handily winning the "blue states" Gore won and Bush ahead in the "red states" he carried in 2000.
A Zogby International poll conducted from August 12 through 14 found Bush leading 47 to 41 percent in the states he carried in the last presidential election. That six percent lead is a one-point gain from a similar Zogby survey in July.
Meanwhile, Kerry is holding on to Gore’s states by a 54 to 37 percent margin. That’s up from an eight point lead over Bush in the Gore states in a July Zogby poll.
If Bush can hang on to the 30 states he won in 2000, he will win the electoral college vote with more room to spare than in the close 2000 election battle. Reapportionment has added additional electoral votes in Bush’s states and taken away votes from the 20 states Gore carried.
Individual polls also reveal a polarized electorate that is unwilling to change its party preference from 2000.
Kerry has opened up a 16-point lead over the president in California, a state that solidly backed Al Gore in 2000. That’s a five point jump from the 11 point lead Kerry held in the Policy Institute of California poll conducted in July.
A new Maryland poll shows Kerry continuing to hold a substantial lead in another Gore state.
In the poll, conducted by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, 53 percent of voters backed Kerry while 40 percent supported Bush. That’s only a slight change from the July poll which gave Kerry a lead of 52 percent to 38 percent.
Meanwhile, President Bush continues to hold on to leads in three states he won in 2000.
A new Survey USA poll in Kentucky finds the president leading the Massachusetts senator 56 to 39 percent. In North Carolina, the poll shows Bush ahead 51 to 45 percent.
A poll conducted by Capitol Survey last week has Bush leading Kerry 51 to 34 percent in Alabama.