Romney Leading in Nationwide Polls Ahead of Third Debate

Politics   Steven Ertelt   Oct 22, 2012   |   12:17PM    Washington, DC

Mitt Romney has pulled into a lead in a number of polls ahead of tonight’s third and final debate with pro-abortion President Barack Obama.

The new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters shows Romney ahead of Obama by two points, 49 to 47 percent, which is a three percentage point swing in Romney’s direction since the previous poll.

As Politico reports on the results:

Romney has not led in the poll since the beginning of May. Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Romney leads 50 to 48 percent.

Seventy-two percent of those who support Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, compared to 80 percent who back Romney. Among this group, Romney leads Obama by 7 points, 52 to 45 percent.

Women propelled Romney’s move into first place in the poll — a majority of which was conducted before the Hofstra debate. Obama’s 11-point advantage a week ago among the crucially important group dwindled to 6 points. The Democratic incumbent still leads 51 to 45 percent with women, but Romney leads by 10 points among men.

Romney also doubled the size of his advantage over Obama on which candidate would better handle the economy. This week, 51 percent of respondents picked Romney and 45 percent chose Obama, compared to 50 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama a week ago. The former Massachusetts governor also leads by 4 points, 50 to 46 percent, on who will create more jobs.

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The latest Monmouth University Poll of likely voters in this year’s national presidential race shows Mitt Romney with a nominal, but statistically insignificant, one point lead over Barack Obama. Currently, Gov. Romney leads the incumbent by 47% to 46% among likely American voters. This marks a reversal of the 3-point edge Pres. Obama held in the Monmouth University Poll one month ago.

Looking at state polls, Romney is showing significant movement in his direction or an outright lead in battleground states.

Mitt Romney has now reached the 50% mark for the first time in Colorado and leads President Obama by four in the critical swing state. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters finds Romney with 50% support to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided.

Two weeks ago, the candidates were basically tied in Colorado, with the president edging his Republican challenger 49% to 48%.

Mitt Romney has taken his biggest lead of the year in Florida and now outpaces President Obama by five points in the key swing state following Tuesday night’s debate.  The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Romney with 51% support to Obama’s 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided.

According to Rasmussen, in the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% of the vote to Obama’s 46%.  Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.